- Dit gaat specifiek om zgn conventionele (goedkope) olie. Wat er nog over is aan niet-conventionele olie is welliswaar veel, maar het is niet of nauwelijks vloeibaar en daarom duur om uit de grond te halen, duur om te transporteren en duur om te rafineren.

- de productie was op maximum in 2006 en neemt af met 7% per jaar
- ook afname productie van gas, kolen en uranium productie is voorspeld


Steep decline in oil production brings risk of war and unrest, says new study
· Output peaked in 2006 and will fall 7% a year
· Decline in gas, coal and uranium also predicted

Ashley Seager
Monday October 22, 2007
The Guardian
http://www.guardian.co.uk/oil/story/0,,2196435,...

World oil production has already peaked and will fall by half as soon as 2030, according to a report which also warns that extreme shortages of fossil fuels will lead to wars and social breakdown.

The German-based Energy Watch Group will release its study in London today saying that global oil production peaked in 2006 - much earlier than most experts had expected. The report, which predicts that production will now fall by 7% a year, comes after oil prices set new records almost every day last week, on Friday hitting more than $90 (£44) a barrel.

...

The report presents a bleak view of the future unless a radically different approach is adopted. It quotes the British energy economist David Fleming as saying: "Anticipated supply shortages could lead easily to disturbing scenes of mass unrest as witnessed in Burma this month. For government, industry and the wider public, just muddling through is not an option any more as this situation could spin out of control and turn into a complete meltdown of society."

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